Friday, December 5, 2008

What Exactly is a Speculation?

Our friends at Casey Research (excellent for metals and macro trends) define an investor as someone that risks 100% of capital for a 10% gain, while a speculator risks 10% of capital for a 100% gain.

We also like Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic), the all world trading guru's idea that speculation is a medium term process. As the future is unknowable, it is taking a position anywhere from a few weeks to months, whereby the probability of at least a 3:1 reward to risk proposition is available.

That makes a great deal of sense. Look for something whereby you have a high likely hood of a big gain versus a small risk. Only use a small % of capital per trade or idea.

No comments: